breakout stocks

Breakout Stocks: Every Breakout SIWAI Caught, and How Each One Played Out

October 10, 20269 min read

Most lists of breakout stocks show you the winners after they win. This one shows every breakout SIWAI flagged, before the move, and what happened next. Between Jul 22, 2026 and Oct 8, 2026, SIWAI detected 90 breakouts with a price target. 32 hit the target, 27 were stopped out and 31 are still open. So do breakouts work? Of the ones that resolved, 54.2% reached the target before the stop.

Below are the numbers, the stocks breaking out in the last 30 days with charts of the cleanest breakouts, a full results table for all 90, and what the failures teach about breakout trading.

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Breakout stocks by the numbers

Metric	Value
Breakouts detected (with a target)	90
Target hit	32
Stopped out	27
Still open	31
Breakout success rate (resolved)	54.2% (32 of 59)
Median time from detection to target	9 calendar days
Average move from entry to target, on hits	+9.6%
Average move from entry to stop, on stops	-9.3%
Asset mix	76 stocks, 10 crypto assets, 2 commodity futures, 1 index, 1 forex pair

The winners and losers are close in size: the average hit gained 9.6% and the average stop lost 9.3%. That makes the success rate the number that matters, and it is why the stop is part of every setup. For a longer view, SIWAI's full record since Mar 2, 2026 shows 56 of 88 resolved breakouts hitting the target (63.6%).

How these breakout stocks were picked and scored

Selection rule. Every Breakout setup with a price target that SIWAI put in its feed, detected between Jul 22, 2026 and Oct 8, 2026: 90 breakouts (76 stocks, 10 crypto assets, 2 commodity futures, 1 index, 1 forex pair). Nothing removed, winners and losers alike. 25 breakouts without a target in that window are left out because they cannot be scored.

Scoring. Each setup is scored like a trade you could take from the feed. Entry is the next session's open after detection. A hit means the target traded before the stop. A stop means the stop traded first, or both on the same day. Open means neither has traded yet. Outcomes come from SIWAI's API and were rechecked against daily prices from Yahoo Finance and Binance.

Past results. Past results do not guarantee future results. This page shows how past SIWAI detections played out. It is for information and education only and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell anything. Trading involves risk of loss.

Stocks breaking out in the last 30 days

SIWAI detected 19 breakouts between September 10 and October 8, 2026: 5 hit the target, 2 were stopped out and 12 are still open. Most are still open because the median winner needs about 9 days. On each chart the white dashed line is SIWAI's breakout level, emerald is the target, red is the stop and the shaded candle is the detection day.

PM (Philip Morris International Inc.): open

PM daily candlestick chart from the SIWAI breakout stocks vault, detected Oct 8, 2026: white dashed breakout level at 195.30, emerald target line at 209.58, red stop line at 185.70, detection day candle shaded — PM: level 195.30, target 209.58, stop 185.70

Detected Oct 8, 2026. Level 195.30, target 209.58, stop 185.70, entry 199.31. Neither target nor stop reached yet, last close 201.19 on Oct 9, 2026 (0.9% above entry).

HNR1.DE (Hannover Rück SE): open

Detected Oct 8, 2026. Level 257.03, target 268.89, stop 247.09, entry 264.00. Neither target nor stop reached yet, last close 263.20 on Oct 9, 2026 (0.3% below entry).

NVDA (NVIDIA Corporation): open

Detected Oct 2, 2026. Level 228.71, target 267.40, stop 207.76, entry 236.09. Neither target nor stop reached yet, last close 229.28 on Oct 9, 2026 (2.9% below entry).

CAP.PA (Capgemini SE): open

Detected Oct 2, 2026. Level 110.82, target 121.19, stop 104.44, entry 109.00. Neither target nor stop reached yet, last close 115.05 on Oct 9, 2026 (5.6% above entry).

QIA.DE (Qiagen N.V.): target hit

Detected Sep 29, 2026. Level 38.60, target 41.63, stop 35.37, entry 39.35. Target hit on Oct 6, 2026, 7 days after detection (+5.8% from entry).

SRT3.DE (Sartorius Aktiengesellschaft): open

Detected Sep 25, 2026. Level 251.71, target 292.66, stop 224.23, entry 258.20. Neither target nor stop reached yet, last close 253.00 on Oct 9, 2026 (2.0% below entry).

SRT.DE (Sartorius Aktiengesellschaft): open

Detected Sep 25, 2026. Level 202.14, target 236.87, stop 178.71, entry 207.50. Neither target nor stop reached yet, last close 204.50 on Oct 9, 2026 (1.4% below entry).

JCI (Johnson Controls International plc): open

Detected Sep 25, 2026. Level 146.86, target 162.21, stop 136.38, entry 149.68. Neither target nor stop reached yet, last close 157.44 on Oct 9, 2026 (5.2% above entry).

GME (GameStop Corp.): open

Detected Sep 22, 2026. Level 22.71, target 27.57, stop 21.76, entry 23.94. Neither target nor stop reached yet, last close 26.56 on Oct 9, 2026 (10.9% above entry).

AME (AMETEK, Inc.): open

Detected Sep 22, 2026. Level 242.65, target 264.34, stop 232.76, entry 243.73. Neither target nor stop reached yet, last close 248.58 on Oct 9, 2026 (2.0% above entry).

^IXIC (Nasdaq Composite): open

^IXIC daily candlestick chart from the SIWAI breakout stocks vault, detected Sep 21, 2026: white dashed breakout level at 26,780, emerald target line at 29,133, red stop line at 25,115, detection day candle shaded — ^IXIC: level 26,780, target 29,133, stop 25,115

Detected Sep 21, 2026. Level 26,780, target 29,133, stop 25,115, entry 27,161. Neither target nor stop reached yet, last close 27,366 on Oct 9, 2026 (0.8% above entry).

SHIB (Shiba Inu): open

Detected Sep 21, 2026. Level 0.0000055361, target 0.0000069696, stop 0.0000046795, entry 0.00000606. Neither target nor stop reached yet, last close 0.00000545 on Oct 10, 2026 (10.1% below entry).

ETN (Eaton Corporation plc): open

Detected Sep 21, 2026. Level 426.00, target 493.35, stop 378.89, entry 434.67. Neither target nor stop reached yet, last close 429.65 on Oct 9, 2026 (1.2% below entry).

ONDO (Ondo): target hit

ONDO daily candlestick chart from the SIWAI breakout stocks vault, detected Sep 20, 2026: white dashed breakout level at 0.4191, emerald target line at 0.5340, red stop line at 0.2922, detection day candle shaded — ONDO: level 0.4191, target 0.5340, stop 0.2922

Detected Sep 20, 2026. Level 0.4191, target 0.5340, stop 0.2922, entry 0.4331. Target hit on Sep 25, 2026, 5 days after detection (+23.3% from entry).

ETH (Ethereum): target hit

Detected Sep 18, 2026. Level 2,537.9, target 2,709.4, stop 2,404.9, entry 2,612.9. Target hit on Sep 21, 2026, 3 days after detection (+3.7% from entry).

AMD (Advanced Micro Devices, Inc.): target hit

AMD daily candlestick chart from the SIWAI breakout stocks vault, detected Sep 17, 2026: white dashed breakout level at 522.12, emerald target line at 591.54, red stop line at 455.81, detection day candle shaded — AMD: level 522.12, target 591.54, stop 455.81

Detected Sep 17, 2026. Level 522.12, target 591.54, stop 455.81, entry 547.37. Target hit on Sep 21, 2026, 4 days after detection (+8.1% from entry).

TTE.PA (TotalEnergies SE): stopped out

Detected Sep 14, 2026. Level 78.49, target 91.22, stop 74.96, entry 79.14. Stop hit on Oct 1, 2026, 17 days after detection (5.3% below entry).

OSCR (Oscar Health, Inc.): stopped out

Detected Sep 14, 2026. Level 32.07, target 38.23, stop 31.03, entry 33.50. Stop hit on Sep 16, 2026, 2 days after detection (7.4% below entry).

USDCHF (USD/CHF): target hit

Detected Sep 13, 2026. Level 0.8139, target 0.8319, stop 0.7909, entry 0.8155. Target hit on Sep 28, 2026, 15 days after detection (+2.0% from entry).

Do breakouts work better with a higher confidence score?

Every SIWAI setup carries a confidence score. Split by that score, the 90 breakouts look like this:

Confidence	Breakouts	Hit	Stopped	Success rate (resolved)
Below 60	10	3	6	33.3%
60 to 69	45	13	15	46.4%
70 to 79	21	8	4	66.7%
80 and above	14	8	2	80.0%

In this sample the success rate climbs with the score, from 33.3% below 60 to 80.0% at 80 and above. The groups are small (the top one has 10 resolved trades), so treat this as a pattern worth watching, not a law. It is one reason SIWAI scores every setup it detects.

False breakouts: what the failed trades show

27 of the 90 breakouts were false breakouts that reached the stop first. Most did not fail right away: the median stopped out trade took 29 days to hit its stop, and only 6 failed within the first week. A breakout that holds for a few days is therefore not proof it will work, and a stop placed below the last real swing, as SIWAI does, is what keeps a false breakout from turning into a large loss. If you want to see how risk and reward fit together before you enter, read how to calculate risk reward ratio. For a wider look at failed moves, Investopedia's guide to fakeouts is a good primer.

Every breakout stock since July 22: full results

All 90 breakouts, newest first. Nothing removed. "When" is the date the target or stop was hit and the number of calendar days after detection.

DTG.DE daily candlestick chart from the SIWAI breakout stocks vault, detected Jul 24, 2026: white dashed breakout level at 43.81, emerald target line at 49.15, red stop line at 40.70, detection day candle shaded, target hit — DTG.DE, detected Jul 24: level 43.81, target 49.15, stop 40.70. Target hit Aug 3, day 10.

TMV.DE daily candlestick chart from the SIWAI breakout stocks vault, detected Jul 29, 2026: white dashed breakout level at 5.82, emerald target line at 6.91, red stop line at 4.51, detection day candle shaded, target hit — TMV.DE, detected Jul 29: level 5.82, target 6.91, stop 4.51. Target hit Aug 14, day 16.

BDX daily candlestick chart from the SIWAI breakout stocks vault, detected Jul 28, 2026: white dashed breakout level at 159.51, emerald target line at 178.76, red stop line at 153.05, detection day candle shaded, target hit — BDX, detected Jul 28: level 159.51, target 178.76, stop 153.05. Target hit Aug 6, day 9.

MET daily candlestick chart from the SIWAI breakout stocks vault, detected Aug 19, 2026: white dashed breakout level at 0.1698, emerald target line at 0.2118, red stop line at 0.1478, detection day candle shaded, target hit — MET, detected Aug 19: level 0.1698, target 0.2118, stop 0.1478. Target hit Aug 20, day 1.

Ticker	Asset	Detected	Level	Target	Stop	Outcome	When
PM	Stock	Oct 8	195.30	209.58	185.70	Open	last close 201.19 (0.9% above entry)
HNR1.DE	Stock	Oct 8	257.03	268.89	247.09	Open	last close 263.20 (0.3% below entry)
NVDA	Stock	Oct 2	228.71	267.40	207.76	Open	last close 229.28 (2.9% below entry)
CAP.PA	Stock	Oct 2	110.82	121.19	104.44	Open	last close 115.05 (5.6% above entry)
QIA.DE	Stock	Sep 29	38.60	41.63	35.37	Target hit	Oct 6, day 7
SRT3.DE	Stock	Sep 25	251.71	292.66	224.23	Open	last close 253.00 (2.0% below entry)
SRT.DE	Stock	Sep 25	202.14	236.87	178.71	Open	last close 204.50 (1.4% below entry)
JCI	Stock	Sep 25	146.86	162.21	136.38	Open	last close 157.44 (5.2% above entry)
GME	Stock	Sep 22	22.71	27.57	21.76	Open	last close 26.56 (10.9% above entry)
AME	Stock	Sep 22	242.65	264.34	232.76	Open	last close 248.58 (2.0% above entry)
^IXIC	Index	Sep 21	26,780	29,133	25,115	Open	last close 27,366 (0.8% above entry)
SHIB	Crypto	Sep 21	0.0000055361	0.0000069696	0.0000046795	Open	last close 0.00000545 (10.1% below entry)
ETN	Stock	Sep 21	426.00	493.35	378.89	Open	last close 429.65 (1.2% below entry)
ONDO	Crypto	Sep 20	0.4191	0.5340	0.2922	Target hit	Sep 25, day 5
ETH	Crypto	Sep 18	2,537.9	2,709.4	2,404.9	Target hit	Sep 21, day 3
AMD	Stock	Sep 17	522.12	591.54	455.81	Target hit	Sep 21, day 4
TTE.PA	Stock	Sep 14	78.49	91.22	74.96	Stopped out	Oct 1, day 17
OSCR	Stock	Sep 14	32.07	38.23	31.03	Stopped out	Sep 16, day 2
USDCHF	Forex	Sep 13	0.8139	0.8319	0.7909	Target hit	Sep 28, day 15
TIA	Crypto	Sep 6	0.4108	0.5248	0.3829	Stopped out	Sep 9, day 3
SLAB	Stock	Sep 2	219.40	222.53	214.93	Target hit	Oct 1, day 29
NVS	Stock	Sep 2	160.48	183.95	148.28	Stopped out	Sep 8, day 6
DG	Stock	Sep 1	128.14	155.75	117.15	Open	last close 127.23 (3.2% below entry)
CF	Stock	Sep 1	130.35	159.35	108.44	Open	last close 111.54 (16.5% below entry)
CDW	Stock	Aug 27	143.16	188.43	111.82	Open	last close 142.17 (5.2% below entry)
ECL	Stock	Aug 26	287.16	311.47	271.34	Stopped out	Sep 10, day 15
BMNR	Stock	Aug 24	23.40	33.87	15.28	Open	last close 24.03 (1.0% above entry)
XMR	Crypto	Aug 22	405.81	518.83	370.83	Target hit	Aug 30, day 8
MOS	Stock	Aug 21	23.60	27.40	22.22	Stopped out	Sep 28, day 38
MORPHO	Crypto	Aug 21	2.29	2.99	1.84	Open	last close 2.38 (0.1% above entry)
FCX	Stock	Aug 21	71.50	86.81	57.61	Open	last close 73.69 (6.0% below entry)
VZ	Stock	Aug 19	48.37	55.30	44.84	Stopped out	Oct 9, day 51
TYL	Stock	Aug 19	330.40	389.78	314.49	Target hit	Sep 3, day 15
NEM	Stock	Aug 19	121.31	153.48	88.02	Open	last close 117.84 (5.2% below entry)
MET	Crypto	Aug 19	0.1698	0.2118	0.1478	Target hit	Aug 20, day 1
EL	Stock	Aug 19	87.81	100.20	87.69	Target hit	Aug 21, day 2
AWK	Stock	Aug 19	136.76	152.80	129.05	Stopped out	Sep 28, day 40
GILD	Stock	Aug 17	136.85	152.30	126.84	Target hit	Sep 2, day 16
BSV	Crypto	Aug 15	14.88	19.09	14.29	Stopped out	Aug 19, day 4
LYV	Stock	Aug 14	186.25	200.85	169.99	Stopped out	Sep 9, day 26
CVX	Stock	Aug 14	197.53	230.28	185.73	Open	last close 211.98 (5.6% above entry)
HSY	Stock	Aug 13	183.52	210.79	166.84	Stopped out	Sep 18, day 36
WBD	Stock	Aug 12	27.26	29.28	25.77	Target hit	39 days after entry (SIWAI)
NBIS	Stock	Aug 12	225.69	305.38	140.24	Open	last close 221.07 (13.5% below entry)
COP	Stock	Aug 11	121.32	139.58	112.44	Target hit	Sep 14, day 34
ADSK	Stock	Aug 10	250.91	315.12	214.93	Stopped out	Sep 8, day 29
ACE	Crypto	Aug 8	0.1221	0.1825	0.0739	Target hit	Aug 14, day 6
SB=F	Commodity	Aug 7	15.36	17.43	14.90	Target hit	Aug 18, day 11
PLTR	Stock	Aug 7	160.72	214.93	143.94	Open	last close 209.05 (22.2% above entry)
NOC	Stock	Aug 7	560.63	638.67	516.34	Stopped out	Sep 4, day 28
SHOP	Stock	Aug 5	129.22	163.85	116.19	Target hit	Oct 6, day 62
SU.PA	Stock	Aug 4	287.65	320.79	253.82	Stopped out	Oct 7, day 64
GTLB	Stock	Aug 4	34.63	43.51	32.60	Target hit	Aug 13, day 9
GOOG	Stock	Aug 4	371.85	426.86	340.90	Stopped out	Aug 12, day 8
CLX	Stock	Aug 4	99.71	119.36	92.53	Stopped out	Sep 8, day 35
BA	Stock	Aug 4	231.42	274.50	208.01	Stopped out	Aug 28, day 24
PATH	Stock	Aug 3	12.39	15.48	10.26	Target hit	Aug 10, day 7
BLK	Stock	Aug 3	1,110.7	1,301.9	1,055.9	Stopped out	Sep 15, day 43
ANET	Stock	Aug 3	177.14	218.91	155.00	Open	last close 216.74 (15.5% above entry)
SHL.DE	Stock	Jul 30	35.52	38.09	32.61	Target hit	Jul 31, day 1
BAS.DE	Stock	Jul 30	50.05	56.03	45.78	Open	last close 51.68 (1.7% above entry)
TMV.DE	Stock	Jul 29	5.82	6.91	4.51	Target hit	Aug 14, day 16
SK.PA	Stock	Jul 29	54.32	67.66	46.57	Open	last close 55.15 (7.3% below entry)
NOW	Stock	Jul 29	111.12	140.63	90.21	Target hit	Aug 28, day 30
MDLZ	Stock	Jul 29	62.41	67.04	59.60	Stopped out	Sep 29, day 62
JKHY	Stock	Jul 29	155.39	187.82	131.38	Open	last close 149.31 (5.8% below entry)
HO.PA	Stock	Jul 29	241.16	267.65	211.31	Target hit	Aug 6, day 8
RI.PA	Stock	Jul 28	64.03	70.09	58.82	Target hit	Aug 6, day 9
RCO.PA	Stock	Jul 28	44.97	49.21	41.52	Target hit	Jul 30, day 2
NDAQ	Stock	Jul 28	92.89	109.14	90.48	Stopped out	Sep 11, day 45
MTD	Stock	Jul 28	1,343.5	1,663.7	1,209.2	Open	last close 1,550.0 (11.6% above entry)
FIS	Stock	Jul 28	43.65	49.67	41.63	Stopped out	Aug 4, day 7
EFX	Stock	Jul 28	178.86	206.16	153.22	Stopped out	Sep 24, day 58
DUOL	Stock	Jul 28	133.86	154.22	97.01	Target hit	Sep 1, day 35
BKNG	Stock	Jul 28	185.47	219.05	148.83	Open	last close 160.34 (18.4% below entry)
BDX	Stock	Jul 28	159.51	178.76	153.05	Target hit	Aug 6, day 9
WTW	Stock	Jul 27	298.46	356.02	286.02	Stopped out	Oct 5, day 70
SWK	Stock	Jul 27	92.19	117.61	74.92	Open	last close 88.57 (6.3% below entry)
SONY	Stock	Jul 27	21.74	24.16	21.99	Target hit	Aug 14, day 18
RCL	Stock	Jul 27	296.83	357.29	282.58	Stopped out	Aug 28, day 32
PUMP	Crypto	Jul 27	0.00179	0.00241	0.00187	Stopped out	Jul 29, day 2
DSY.PA	Stock	Jul 27	18.85	21.17	19.44	Target hit	Jul 29, day 2
LH	Stock	Jul 24	290.88	331.65	260.46	Target hit	Aug 20, day 27
J	Stock	Jul 24	131.49	157.01	105.01	Open	last close 139.15 (2.4% above entry)
DTG.DE	Stock	Jul 24	43.81	49.15	40.70	Target hit	Aug 3, day 10
RTX	Stock	Jul 23	204.55	238.29	192.97	Stopped out	Sep 17, day 56
BMY	Stock	Jul 23	60.44	67.27	53.13	Target hit	Aug 3, day 11
ZS=F	Commodity	Jul 22	1,216.2	1,327.6	1,161.3	Stopped out	Aug 4, day 13
EOG	Stock	Jul 22	142.16	155.83	126.58	Open	last close 148.16 (0.8% above entry)
ACA.PA	Stock	Jul 22	17.84	19.46	16.87	Target hit	Jul 31, day 9

Notes. MORPHO: SIWAI scores this one as open. On Binance MORPHO/USDT the daily high on Aug 24 printed 3.000, just above the 2.986 target, so depending on the price feed it may count as a hit. WBD: no public price history is available any more, so this outcome is shown as SIWAI recorded it and was not rechecked against market prices.

Breakout trading lessons from the data

A breakout is a setup, not a promise. 27 of 90 failed. Size every trade so a stop is a normal cost, with the position size calculator.
Give it time. The median winner took 9 days. Judging a breakout after one session is too early.
Quality filters help. Higher confidence breakouts did better in this sample.
Coverage is the edge. These 90 breakouts came from 76 stocks plus crypto, forex, an index and commodities. Nobody checks that many charts by hand, which is the problem covered in how to scan stocks for chart patterns. The same rules apply to reversal patterns like the head and shoulders.

How to find breakout stocks today

The stocks about to break out tomorrow are forming on charts tonight. SIWAI scans 1,000+ assets overnight and puts each breakout in your feed with its level, target and stop, so you can review today's breakout stocks in about 5 minutes. You still take the trade. You just stop hunting for it.

See today's setups

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FAQ

What are breakout stocks?

Breakout stocks are stocks whose price closes above a resistance level that capped it before, often after a period of consolidation. Traders watch them because a clean break can start a new trend. Every breakout in this vault comes with SIWAI's level, target and stop.

Do breakouts work?

Sometimes, and not always. In this vault 32 of 59 resolved breakouts (54.2%) reached their target before their stop, and 27 failed. A breakout is a setup with an edge, not a guarantee, which is why each one needs a stop.

What is the breakout success rate?

For the 90 breakouts SIWAI detected from Jul 22, 2026 to Oct 8, 2026, the success rate was 54.2% of resolved trades. SIWAI's longer record since Mar 2, 2026 is 63.6% (56 of 88). Past results do not guarantee future results.

What is a false breakout?

A false breakout is a move above resistance that does not hold and falls back to the stop. In this vault 27 breakouts ended that way. The median one took 29 days to reach its stop.

How long does a breakout take to reach its target?

In this sample the median was 9 calendar days from detection to target. Some hit the next session, others took more than a month.

Where can I find breakout stocks today?

In the SIWAI feed. SIWAI scans 1,000+ stocks, crypto, forex and commodities overnight and lists each new breakout with its level, target and stop, so you can review today's breakout stocks in about 5 minutes. The trial is free for 7 days with no card.

Risk Disclaimer: Trading stocks, options, futures, forex, and cryptocurrencies involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for every investor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. This article is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. You should carefully consider your financial situation and risk tolerance before trading. Never trade with money you cannot afford to lose.

Data: SIWAI API breakout outcomes as of Oct 10, 2026, rechecked against daily prices from Yahoo Finance and Binance.